Palantir Technologies closed at $156.43 today, marking a slight dip of 0.46%. The price dipped further to $154 in the after-market as traders who bought it at a low price took profits. The share price has climbed 5.39% in the last five days and 15.59% in the last month. Palantir’s share price is in a 13.72% dip this year, as the Q4 earnings report hype did not hold, regardless of beating Wall Street estimates by 4-6%.
Palantir’s growth has accelerated for ten straight quarters, with the U.S. government as one of its major clients. It has recently acquired contracts from the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and the U.S. Army worth up to 11 billion dollars, signaling deeper ties with the government.
Detailed Technical Analysis
Palantir’s technicals remain bullish, despite noise from profit-taking. The 10-30 day EMAs and SMAs remain under the current price, signalling a strong short-term uptrend. The 50-day SMA is 156.67, which is slightly above the current rate of $156.43, signalling that medium-term technical health is lower.
The 200-day SMA of 162.22 is forecasting that it’s riskier to hold the shares for the long term. Investors should be cautious about chasing the current rally at the same level. The RSI and MACD signals that the price will easily cruise at the current levels. In short, the key numbers signal short-term health, with risk increasing when held on to longer.
| Metric | Current Reading | Signal | What it Means |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 60.07 | Neutral | Positive momentum, not extreme overbought. |
| MACD | 0.02 | Buy | Bullish momentum supports further upside. |
| CCI (20) | 150.86 | Sell | The move is stretched; pullback risk is higher. |
| Stoch RSI (Fast) | 98.16 | Sell | Strongly overbought; rally may cool soon. |
| 20‑day EMA | 145.71 | Buy | Price above short‑term trend; uptrend intact. |
| 50‑day SMA | 156.67 | Sell | Price near/under medium‑term resistance. |
| 200‑day SMA | 162.22 | Sell | Below the key long‑term line, downtrend |
* The numbers are as of March 10, 2026
Q4 2025 Performance: 70% Revenue Jump
Palantir reported its Q4 2025 earnings report on February 2, 2026, resulting in its share price jumping from $147 to $156 the next day. Its $1.41 billion revenue posted a 70% Y.o.Y growth and beat the market estimates by 5%. The EPS touched $0.25 beat the market by 8%-9%.
The hype from the earnings report didn’t impress investors to support the prices, as investors had already factored in the valuation and started profit-taking, which caused the price to crash to $136 on February 5th. The price is now at $156.43, signalling that it is now consolidating at post-earnings hype numbers.
Q4 and FY25 side to side:
| Metric | Q4 2025 Amount (USD ‘000) | Q4 2025 Margin | FY 2025 Amount (USD ‘000) | FY 2025 Margin |
| Revenue | 1,406,802 | 70% YoY growth | 4,475,446 | 56% YoY growth |
| Income from Operations | 575,394 | 41% | 1,414,015 | 32% |
| Adjusted Income from Operations | 798,465 | 57% | 2,254,100 | 50% |
| Cash from Operations | 777,295 | 55% | 2,134,473 | 48% |
| Adjusted Free Cash Flow | 791,428 | 56% | 2,270,436 | 51% |
| Net Income Attributable to Common Stockholders | 608,676 | 43% | 1,625,033 | 36% |
| Adjusted Net Income Attributable to Common Stockholders | 647,973 | N/A | 1,915,638 | N/A |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 805,483 | 57% | 2,280,245 | 51% |
| GAAP EPS, Diluted (USD) | 0.24 | N/A | 0.63 | N/A |
| Adjusted EPS, Diluted (USD) | 0.25 | N/A | 0.75 | N/A |
Analysts’ Take
Wall Street is broadly bullish on Palantir, as the consensus is around a 19.17% upside with a target price of $186.41. UBS sees an upside of 15.07% and a target price of $180, with Daiwa Securities projecting the same numbers. On the other hand, HSBC and Piper Sandler see a higher upside of 31.05% and 47.03%, respectively.
